Japanese Reuters's short-term non-manufacturing boom judgment index in December is 30, with the previous value of 19; Reuters's short-term judgment index of manufacturing prosperity in December was -1, with the previous value of 5.CF40 Research: Three Channels to Expand Domestic Demand. An article published by Guan Wei of China Financial Forty Forum (CF40) pointed out that the expansion of total demand, whether it is to expand consumption or investment demand, should be implemented on credit growth. When credit goes up, residents, enterprises and governments have more money in their pockets, so do expenditures and incomes, as well as profits and investments. At present, there are three main ways to expand credit: first, fiscal policy is exerted and the government borrows money; Second, the monetary policy will exert its strength and reduce the policy interest rate; The third is to stabilize the real estate market, and there can be no further sharp decline. In terms of finance, maintain the intensity of fiscal expenditure in a broad sense, and moderately increase the fiscal deficit to 4% in 2025. In terms of monetary policy, we should take reducing the real interest rate as an important goal, continue to implement "strong interest rate reduction", and timely reduce the interest rate of structural monetary policy tools below the policy interest rate level. In terms of the property market, it will ease the current cash flow pressure faced by real estate enterprises and promote the real estate to stop falling and stabilize from both ends of supply and demand.Three-way funds actively increased their positions. The liquidity of the A-share market is abundant. Since this round of market, the liquidity of the market has been abundant, and the turnover has reached a number of records. The active transaction in the A-share market is inseparable from the continuous inflow of incremental funds. The data shows that since September 24, the financing balance in the A-share market has increased by nearly 500 billion yuan, the net inflow of equity ETFs has exceeded 220 billion yuan, and the repurchase amount has exceeded 24 billion yuan. Analysts said that incremental funds may accelerate the flow into the A-share market under the expectation of positive policies and economic recovery. (CSI)
The offshore RMB (CNH) was quoted at 7.2579 yuan against the US dollar at 05:59 Beijing time, up 96 points from late new york on Monday, and the whole trading in the day was in the range of 7.2710-7.2421 yuan.EIA: The net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% in 2025. The us energy information administration (EIA) said on Tuesday that it is expected that the net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% to 1.9 million barrels per day next year, which will be the lowest level since 1971, suggesting that the output of the United States will increase and the demand of refineries will decrease. EIA said in its Short-term Energy Outlook in December that the US oil production is expected to increase from 13.24 million barrels per day in 2024 to 13.52 million barrels per day in 2025. EIA also said that the crude oil processing capacity of refineries will be 16 million barrels per day in 2025, a decrease of 200,000 barrels per day compared with 2024. EIA now predicts that the average spot price of Brent crude oil in 2025 will be $73.58 per barrel, which is lower than the previous forecast of $76.06 per barrel. The average spot price of crude oil in the United States is $69.12 per barrel, which is lower than the last forecast of $71.60 per barrel.The yield of 2/10-year US Treasury bonds rose by more than 2 basis points. In late new york on Tuesday (December 10th), the yield of US 10-year benchmark treasury bonds rose by 2.32 basis points to 4.2244%, and the intraday trading was in the range of 4.1818%-4.2438%. The yield of two-year US bonds rose by 2.48 basis points to 4.1430%, and intraday trading ranged from 4.1099% to 4.1680%. The yield spread of three-month Treasury bonds /10-year US bonds rose by 3.624 basis points to -16.951 basis points. The yield spread of US bonds in 2002/10 was roughly flat, at +7.546 basis points. The yield of US 10-year inflation-protected treasury bonds (TIPS) fell by 0.90 basis points to 1.9233%.
The pharmacy chain WBA closed up 18%, the biggest one-day increase since at least 1980, and the company negotiated to sell it to a private equity firm.Game Station (GME) US stocks rose 5.8% after hours.The Iraqi Prime Minister met with the commander of the US Central Command to discuss the situation in Syria and other issues. The Iraqi Prime Minister and Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces Sudani met with the commander of the US Central Command, michael curry Al-Ra, in Baghdad on December 10th. During the talks, the two sides discussed the cooperation and coordination between Iraq and the League of Nations in the fight against terrorism and extremism. Sudani emphasized that Iraq is an important member of the "League of Nations" and is committed to cooperating with the League to jointly crack down on and track down terrorist organizations in order to safeguard regional security and stability. Curilla emphasized that the League of Nations promised to support Iraq in safeguarding its security and sovereignty and resisting any terrorist threat. The two sides also discussed the latest progress of the situation in Syria and its lasting impact on the region. Sudani said that the Syrian people's free choice should be respected, and Iraq is willing to help the Syrian people in the current transitional stage. (CCTV)
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14